Ottawa | April 30, 2025 —
In a stunning political comeback, Canada’s ruling Liberal Party, led by newly appointed Prime Minister Mark Carney, secured a fourth term in office. This victory followed a snap Canada Election dominated by U.S. President Donald Trump’s hostile rhetoric and domestic anxieties over economic security.
Just months ago, the Liberals were trailing by over 25 points in the polls. However, the latest projections show the party is set to win 168 seats in the 343-member House of Commons, according to CBC News. While this falls short of an outright majority (172 seats), the results are enough for Carney to form a minority government. This marks a significant turnaround for a party that has governed since 2015.
Canada Election:🔴 A Referendum on Trump?
Observers and analysts widely credit the Liberals’ surge to growing voter unease about Trump’s escalating threats against Canada. Trump imposed punitive tariffs on Canadian goods and energy earlier this year and even floated the idea of annexing Canada, stating on Fox News that “Canada would be better off as America’s 51st state.”
“This election wasn’t just about domestic policy — it was a referendum on who could best defend Canada’s sovereignty,” said Daniel Beland, director of the McGill Institute for the Study of Canada.
Canada Election: 📊 Seat Tally: Liberals Lead, Conservatives Gain
Here’s how Canada’s major parties fared:
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Liberal Party: 168 seats (up from 160 in 2021)
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Conservative Party: 144 seats (up from 119)
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Bloc Quebecois: 23 seats (down from 32)
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New Democratic Party (NDP): 7 seats (down from 25)
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Green Party: 1 seat (down from 2)
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre suffered a personal defeat, losing his longtime riding of Carleton, Ontario to Liberal newcomer Bruce Fanjoy. The NDP’s Jagmeet Singh also lost his seat in Burnaby Central and resigned as party leader after the party failed to maintain official party status.
⚡ How the Liberals Pulled Off a Comeback
The Liberals’ resurgence began in February after Justin Trudeau resigned as prime minister and party leader. This opened the door for Carney, a political newcomer with global economic credentials, to take the reins. Carney previously served as the governor of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England.
His campaign resonated with voters concerned about cost-of-living issues, housing shortages, and Canada’s deteriorating relationship with its powerful southern neighbor.
During his victory speech in Ottawa, Carney declared, “We are masters in our own home.” He vowed to fight back with counter-tariffs, protect workers, and build millions of homes to make life more affordable again.
🔻 NDP Collapse, ‘Shy Conservatives’
Analysts note the collapse of the NDP was a key factor in consolidating centre-left votes behind the Liberals. “Voters afraid of Trump’s threats coalesced around the Liberals as the best defense,” said McGill political scientist Tari Ajadi.
At the same time, the Conservatives posted their best vote share since 1988, suggesting a strong base that may yet challenge the Liberals in future elections.
🗳 What Comes Next?
Carney will now form a cabinet and present a budget, with the House of Commons set to reconvene on May 26. As a likely minority government, the Liberals must seek alliances — likely with smaller parties — to survive confidence motions and pass legislation.
In a concession speech, Poilievre vowed to cooperate on national interests:
“We’ve gained more than 20 seats and made real progress. But now, we will work with the prime minister and other parties to defend Canada’s interests and secure a better trade deal.”
🌐 The Bigger Picture
This election, triggered by both domestic challenges and external pressures, has reshaped Canada’s political landscape. Mark Carney, despite being new to electoral politics, now faces a delicate balancing act — steering the country through economic uncertainty while navigating a volatile cross-border relationship with an unpredictable U.S. president.
The Right Honourable Mark Carney, Prime Minister of Canada
Also Read:
G7 Summit, 2024 Italia: G7 Leaders’ Communiqué, The Official Statement of G7 leaders
Canada: Trudeau, Christy Clark & Pierre Poilievre, What is happening in Canadian Parliament
